Principal Analyst

Join the change. Together, we’ll make history.

As we keep the lights on for over four million customers and move towards a more sustainable way of life, it’s an exciting time to be at AGL. We’re re-imagining how homes and business live and work across the country and we want you to be a part of it. This moment will define our time, and your career as you work alongside Australia's best and brightest minds. You’ll grow and learn in a collaborative, safe and supportive environment and play your part in changing the course of tomorrow.

Everyone at AGL is an important part of building a better energy future and we want you to join in.

About the Role:
The Load Forecasting and Market Modelling team is a critical part of the Integrated Portfolio Planning business unit, providing key market modelling, load forecasting and portfolio valuation expertise. The team primarily develops systems, models, reports and processes in order to assist Trading & Supply and related functions to actively manage and report on AGL’s commodity portfolios. The team has built their own cutting-edge technology and systems from scratch, challenging the status quo and breaking free from the inertia that has long defined our industry.

The Principal Analyst for Load Forecasting is responsible for the development, operation and maintenance of short to medium term electricity and gas demand forecasts, as well as enhancement of those forecasts, adding value through excellence in the provision of high-quality quantitative and qualitative analysis of customer demand which enables effective management of AGL’s hedge position. They will also build knowledge and provide support to the Market Modelling group as required, and mentor junior members of the team.

As the biggest portfolio in the energy market, quality analytics and stakeholder interaction with trading is vital to ensure that profitability and risk are optimised. Our team comprises dynamic, tenacious learners with a wealth of experience in the Australian energy markets. We're not just professionals - we're visionaries determined to invigorate a stagnant market and make a real difference in the world. Choosing to work for us means joining a creative and dynamic environment, where you will experience a stimulating, enjoyable workspace unlike any you've ever experienced.

What you’ll be doing:

- Drive gross margin through the provision of accurate and timely demand forecasts to manage trading positions and support commercial outcomes
- Provision of high-quality quantitative and qualitative analysis of customer demand enabling effective management of AGL’s hedge position
- Accurate, real-time load forecasting critical to facilitating gas nominations and power station dispatch
- Mentor and coach less experienced members of the team and support Market Modelling objectives to broaden skills and create bench strength across the team
- Work closely with the Pricing Manager to achieve cross collaboration between the Forecasting and Pricing teams
- Understanding stakeholder needs and delivering outcomes to multiple stakeholders with varying objectives
- Represent TS&O in forecasting discussions with internal and external stakeholders
- Develop communications to enable all stakeholders to speak the same language
- Contribute to the ongoing enhancement of commercial decision-making within AGL’s TS&O business unit, through provision and continuous improvement of high-quality forecasts
- Provide thought leadership in the design, development, deployment and continual improvement of AGL’s in-house forecasting capability
- Management and improvement of forecasting systems and models
- Strategic insights and market trends are fed into decision making processes
- Ensure ongoing alignment to AGL’s risk policies and procedures

About You:
You will be a leader that can develop innovative models and trading systems that can drive AGL’s ability to meet and exceed expectations on the changing energy market and emerging risks. You won’t be working in an Agile environment, you will build and take ownership of the systems yourself, with the support of the team. You will enjoy working with trading and analytical teams where the supportive culture and focus on continuous improvement are key.

What you’ll bring to the table:

- Relevant tertiary qualifications in degree in Commerce, Mathematics or Engineering or similar
- Programming and IT experience: (Python, R, SQL or equivalent)
- Demonstrated leadership capability amongst a diverse team of professionals
- Knowledge and experience in energy, financial or commodity trading or a quantitative discipline
- Ability to manage competing priorities in a dynamic environment
- Stakeholder management and relationship building skills
- Ability to clearly convey complex data, analytical and modelling insights to stakeholders with a diverse range of knowledge and experience.
- Strong modelling skills
- Ability to develop strategies to balance risk