Senior Business Analyst, Energy Forecasting

2 months ago

Cremorne, Victoria, Australia AGL Energy Full time
About the Role:

The Load Forecasting and Market Modelling team is a critical component of the Integrated Portfolio Planning business unit, providing key market modelling, load forecasting, and portfolio analysis expertise. The team primarily develops systems, models, reports, and processes that drive Trading & Portfolio Management and related functions to actively manage and report on AGL's commodity portfolios.

The Senior Business Analyst for Energy Forecasting is responsible for the development, operation, and maintenance of short to medium-term electricity and gas demand forecasts, as well as the enhancement of those forecasts. This role adds value through excellence in the provision of high-quality quantitative and qualitative analysis of customer demand, enabling effective management of AGL's hedge position.

This position will also build knowledge and provide support to the Market Modelling group as required, and mentor junior members of the team.

Key Responsibilities:
  • Drive gross margin through the provision of accurate and timely demand forecasts to manage trading positions and support commercial outcomes.
  • Provision of high-quality quantitative and qualitative analysis of customer demand enabling effective management of AGL's hedge position.
  • Accurate, real-time load forecasting critical to facilitating gas nominations and power station dispatch.
  • Mentor and coach less experienced members of the team and support Market Modelling objectives to broaden skills and create bench strength across the team.
  • Work closely with the Pricing Manager to achieve cross-collaboration between the Forecasting and Pricing teams.
  • Understanding stakeholder needs and delivering outcomes to multiple stakeholders with varying objectives.
  • Represent Trading & Portfolio Management in forecasting discussions with internal and external stakeholders.
  • Develop communications to enable all stakeholders to speak the same language.
  • Contribute to the ongoing enhancement of commercial decision-making within AGL's Integrated Energy business unit, through provision and continuous improvement of high-quality forecasts.
  • Provide input into the design, development, deployment, and continual improvement of AGL's in-house forecasting capability.
  • Management and improvement of forecasting systems and models.
  • Provide strategic insights and market trends for decision-making processes.
  • Ensure ongoing alignment to AGL's risk policies and procedures.
About You:

You will be an experienced Business Analyst that can develop innovative models and trading systems that can drive AGL's ability to meet and exceed expectations on the changing energy market and emerging risks. You will enjoy working with trading and analytical teams where the supportive culture and focus on continuous improvement are key.

Requirements:
  • Relevant tertiary qualifications in a degree in Commerce, Mathematics, or Engineering or similar.
  • Programming and IT experience: (Python, R, MATLAB, SQL or equivalent).
  • Demonstrated mentoring capability amongst a diverse team of professionals.
  • Knowledge and experience in energy, financial, or commodity trading or a quantitative discipline.
  • Ability to manage competing priorities in a dynamic environment.
  • Stakeholder management and relationship building skills.
  • Ability to clearly convey complex data, analytical, and modelling insights to stakeholders with a diverse range of knowledge and experience.
  • Strong modelling skills.
  • Ability to develop strategies to balance risk and return.
  • Advanced presentation, communication, interpersonal, influencing, and negotiations skills.

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